Appendix. Data Used for Time Series and Forecast Results
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STSRF |
Nonlinear Prog. |
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Quarter |
Period |
Actual Demand |
Fit |
e2 |
Fit |
e2 |
|
1 |
1 |
875 |
820.23 |
3000.27 |
840.21 |
1210.21 |
|
2 |
2 |
1076 |
1107.77 |
1009.33 |
1109.50 |
1122.07 |
|
3 |
3 |
1208 |
1260.38 |
2743.71 |
1248.74 |
1659.39 |
|
4 |
4 |
787 |
814.61 |
762.46 |
789.14 |
4.59 |
|
1 |
5 |
915 |
830.74 |
7099.37 |
851.05 |
4089.79 |
|
2 |
6 |
1141 |
1125.22 |
248.86 |
1127.11 |
193.05 |
|
3 |
7 |
1216 |
1283.91 |
4611.19 |
1272.23 |
3162.21 |
|
4 |
8 |
745 |
832.16 |
7597.00 |
806.29 |
3756.67 |
|
1 |
9 |
799 |
851.00 |
2703.54 |
871.99 |
5327.47 |
|
2 |
10 |
1272 |
1155.80 |
13502.07 |
1158.03 |
12989.33 |
|
3 |
11 |
1388 |
1322.32 |
4314.01 |
1310.67 |
5979.16 |
|
4 |
12 |
1003 |
859.30 |
20650.55 |
832.85 |
28950.83 |
|
1 |
13 |
835 |
880.99 |
2114.64 |
903.03 |
4628.75 |
|
2 |
14 |
1275 |
1199.50 |
5700.16 |
1202.27 |
5290.00 |
|
3 |
15 |
1344 |
1375.62 |
999.81 |
1364.06 |
402.40 |
|
4 |
16 |
921 |
896.02 |
623.93 |
868.82 |
2722.82 |
|
1 |
17 |
834 |
920.71 |
7518.83 |
944.18 |
12140.69 |
|
2 |
18 |
1256 |
1256.32 |
0.10 |
1259.82 |
14.60 |
|
3 |
19 |
1381 |
1443.81 |
3944.89 |
1432.39 |
2640.74 |
|
4 |
20 |
904 |
942.33 |
1469.50 |
914.20 |
104.00 |
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1 |
21 |
1035 |
970.17 |
4202.47 |
995.44 |
1565.07 |
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2 |
22 |
1361 |
1326.26 |
1206.52 |
1330.69 |
918.75 |
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3 |
23 |
1409 |
1526.88 |
13896.80 |
1515.66 |
11376.31 |
|
4 |
24 |
961 |
998.23 |
1386.43 |
968.99 |
63.78 |
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1 |
25 |
1014 |
1029.37 |
236.30 |
1056.80 |
1831.65 |
|
2 |
26 |
1402 |
1409.33 |
53.73 |
1414.87 |
165.69 |
|
3 |
27 |
1676 |
1624.85 |
2616.44 |
1613.87 |
3859.52 |
|
4 |
28 |
917 |
1063.72 |
21527.87 |
1033.18 |
13498.87 |
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1 |
29 |
1132 |
1098.31 |
1135.21 |
1128.26 |
13.98 |
|
2 |
30 |
1504 |
1505.52 |
2.30 |
1512.37 |
70.06 |
|
3 |
31 |
1748 |
1737.70 |
106.07 |
1727.03 |
439.59 |
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4 |
32 |
1144 |
1138.80 |
27.03 |
1106.79 |
1384.38 |
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1 |
33 |
1293 |
1176.98 |
13460.99 |
1209.83 |
6917.53 |
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2 |
34 |
1456 |
1614.83 |
25226.18 |
1623.18 |
27950.25 |
|
3 |
35 |
1916 |
1865.44 |
2556.27 |
1855.14 |
3704.49 |
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4 |
36 |
1234 |
1223.47 |
110.96 |
1189.81 |
1952.70 |
|
1 |
37 |
1279 |
1265.39 |
185.34 |
1301.50 |
506.26 |
|
2 |
38 |
1777 |
1737.26 |
1579.33 |
1747.31 |
881.43 |
|
3 |
39 |
1911 |
2008.07 |
9422.16 |
1998.18 |
7600.51 |
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4 |
40 |
1239 |
1317.72 |
6196.80 |
1282.24 |
1869.57 |
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1 |
41 |
1300 |
1363.53 |
4036.08 |
1403.28 |
10666.05 |
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2 |
42 |
1905 |
1872.81 |
1035.99 |
1884.75 |
409.90 |
|
3 |
43 |
2107 |
2165.58 |
3431.97 |
2156.17 |
2417.66 |
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4 |
44 |
1473 |
1421.56 |
2645.92 |
1384.08 |
7907.46 |
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1 |
45 |
1530 |
1471.41 |
3432.73 |
1515.16 |
220.31 |
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2 |
46 |
2133 |
2021.49 |
12434.67 |
2035.51 |
9503.95 |
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3 |
47 |
2382 |
2337.99 |
1937.23 |
2329.10 |
2798.20 |
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4 |
48 |
1530 |
1534.99 |
24.91 |
1495.32 |
1202.45 |
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1 |
49 |
1665 |
1589.03 |
5771.87 |
1637.14 |
776.04 |
|
2 |
50 |
2248 |
2183.29 |
4187.74 |
2199.58 |
2344.06 |
|
3 |
51 |
2513 |
2525.28 |
150.72 |
2516.98 |
15.82 |
|
4 |
52 |
1619 |
1658.01 |
1521.73 |
1615.98 |
9.12 |
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1 |
53 |
1803 |
1716.38 |
7502.99 |
1769.23 |
1140.28 |
|
2 |
54 |
2355 |
2358.21 |
10.29 |
2376.97 |
482.78 |
|
3 |
55 |
2856 |
2727.46 |
16523.77 |
2719.80 |
18551.29 |
|
4 |
56 |
1712 |
1790.62 |
6180.40 |
1746.05 |
1159.27 |
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1 |
57 |
1960 |
1853.47 |
11348.73 |
1911.43 |
2359.43 |
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2 |
58 |
2461 |
2546.25 |
7267.54 |
2567.67 |
11379.49 |
|
3 |
59 |
2880 |
2944.52 |
4163.01 |
2937.56 |
3313.09 |
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4 |
60 |
1802 |
1932.81 |
17111.24 |
1885.53 |
6976.43 |
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61 |
|
2000.30 |
|
2063.72 |
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|
62 |
|
2747.41 |
|
2771.69 |
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|
63 |
|
3176.48 |
|
3170.27 |
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|
|
64 |
|
2084.59 |
|
2034.41 |
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|
65 |
|
2156.86 |
|
2226.13 |
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|
66 |
|
2961.70 |
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2989.02 |
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|
67 |
|
3423.32 |
|
3417.91 |
|
|
|
68 |
|
2245.96 |
|
2192.71 |
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