Appendix.  Data Used for Time Series and Forecast Results

 

 

 

 

STSRF

Nonlinear Prog.

Quarter

Period

Actual Demand

Fit

e2

Fit

e2

1

1

875

820.23

3000.27

840.21

1210.21

2

2

1076

1107.77

1009.33

1109.50

1122.07

3

3

1208

1260.38

2743.71

1248.74

1659.39

4

4

787

814.61

762.46

789.14

4.59

1

5

915

830.74

7099.37

851.05

4089.79

2

6

1141

1125.22

248.86

1127.11

193.05

3

7

1216

1283.91

4611.19

1272.23

3162.21

4

8

745

832.16

7597.00

806.29

3756.67

1

9

799

851.00

2703.54

871.99

5327.47

2

10

1272

1155.80

13502.07

1158.03

12989.33

3

11

1388

1322.32

4314.01

1310.67

5979.16

4

12

1003

859.30

20650.55

832.85

28950.83

1

13

835

880.99

2114.64

903.03

4628.75

2

14

1275

1199.50

5700.16

1202.27

5290.00

3

15

1344

1375.62

999.81

1364.06

402.40

4

16

921

896.02

623.93

868.82

2722.82

1

17

834

920.71

7518.83

944.18

12140.69

2

18

1256

1256.32

0.10

1259.82

14.60

3

19

1381

1443.81

3944.89

1432.39

2640.74

4

20

904

942.33

1469.50

914.20

104.00

1

21

1035

970.17

4202.47

995.44

1565.07

2

22

1361

1326.26

1206.52

1330.69

918.75

3

23

1409

1526.88

13896.80

1515.66

11376.31

4

24

961

998.23

1386.43

968.99

63.78

1

25

1014

1029.37

236.30

1056.80

1831.65

2

26

1402

1409.33

53.73

1414.87

165.69

3

27

1676

1624.85

2616.44

1613.87

3859.52

4

28

917

1063.72

21527.87

1033.18

13498.87

1

29

1132

1098.31

1135.21

1128.26

13.98

2

30

1504

1505.52

2.30

1512.37

70.06

3

31

1748

1737.70

106.07

1727.03

439.59

4

32

1144

1138.80

27.03

1106.79

1384.38

1

33

1293

1176.98

13460.99

1209.83

6917.53

2

34

1456

1614.83

25226.18

1623.18

27950.25

3

35

1916

1865.44

2556.27

1855.14

3704.49

4

36

1234

1223.47

110.96

1189.81

1952.70

1

37

1279

1265.39

185.34

1301.50

506.26

2

38

1777

1737.26

1579.33

1747.31

881.43

3

39

1911

2008.07

9422.16

1998.18

7600.51

4

40

1239

1317.72

6196.80

1282.24

1869.57

1

41

1300

1363.53

4036.08

1403.28

10666.05

2

42

1905

1872.81

1035.99

1884.75

409.90

3

43

2107

2165.58

3431.97

2156.17

2417.66

4

44

1473

1421.56

2645.92

1384.08

7907.46

1

45

1530

1471.41

3432.73

1515.16

220.31

2

46

2133

2021.49

12434.67

2035.51

9503.95

3

47

2382

2337.99

1937.23

2329.10

2798.20

4

48

1530

1534.99

24.91

1495.32

1202.45

1

49

1665

1589.03

5771.87

1637.14

776.04

2

50

2248

2183.29

4187.74

2199.58

2344.06

3

51

2513

2525.28

150.72

2516.98

15.82

4

52

1619

1658.01

1521.73

1615.98

9.12

1

53

1803

1716.38

7502.99

1769.23

1140.28

2

54

2355

2358.21

10.29

2376.97

482.78

3

55

2856

2727.46

16523.77

2719.80

18551.29

4

56

1712

1790.62

6180.40

1746.05

1159.27

1

57

1960

1853.47

11348.73

1911.43

2359.43

2

58

2461

2546.25

7267.54

2567.67

11379.49

3

59

2880

2944.52

4163.01

2937.56

3313.09

4

60

1802

1932.81

17111.24

1885.53

6976.43

 

61

 

2000.30

 

2063.72

 

 

62

 

2747.41

 

2771.69

 

 

63

 

3176.48

 

3170.27

 

 

64

 

2084.59

 

2034.41

 

 

65

 

2156.86

 

2226.13

 

 

66

 

2961.70

 

2989.02

 

 

67

 

3423.32

 

3417.91

 

 

68

 

2245.96

 

2192.71